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The
911 Commission Report
The
National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, also known as
the 9/11 Commission, was set up in late 2002 "to prepare a full and
complete account of the circumstances surrounding the September 11, 2001
attacks", including preparedness for and the immediate response to the
attacks.
The
Commission was also mandated to provide recommendations designed to guard
against future attacks.
Chaired
by former New Jersey Governor Thomas Kean, the Commission was comprised of five
Democrats and five Republicans. The Commission was created by Congressional
legislation, with the bill signed into law by President George W. Bush.
The
members of the Commission were:
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Thomas Kean
(Chairman) - Republican, former Governor of New Jersey
-
Lee H. Hamilton
(Vice Chairman) - Democrat, former U.S. Representative from the 9th District
of Indiana
-
Richard
Ben-Veniste
- Democrat, attorney, former chief of the Watergate Task Force of the
Watergate Special Prosecutor's Office
-
Fred F. Fielding -
Republican, attorney and former White House Counsel Jamie Gorelick -
Democrat, former Deputy Attorney General in the Clinton AdministrationSlade
Gorton - Republican, former U.S. Senator from Washington
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Bob Kerrey -
Democrat, President of the New School University and former U.S. Senator
from Nebraska
-
John F. Lehman -
Republican, former Secretary of the Navy
-
Timothy J. Roemer -
Democrat, former U.S. Representative from the 3rd District of Indiana
-
James R. Thompson -
Republican, former Governor of Illinois
Final Report of the National
Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
We present the narrative of this report and
the recommendations that flow from it to the President of the United States, the
United States Congress, and the American people for their consideration. Ten
Commissioners-five Republicans and five Democrats chosen by elected leaders from
our nation's capital at a time of great partisan division-have come together to
present this report without dissent.
We have come together with a unity of purpose
because our nation demands it. September 11, 2001, was a day of unprecedented
shock and suffering in the history of the United States. The nation was
unprepared.
A NATION TRANSFORMED
At 8:46 on the morning of September 11, 2001,
the United States became a nation transformed.
An airliner traveling at hundreds of miles per
hour and carrying some 10,000 gallons of jet fuel plowed into the North Tower of
the World Trade Center in Lower Manhattan. At 9:03, a second airliner hit the
South Tower. Fire and smoke billowed upward. Steel, glass, ash, and bodies fell
below. The Twin Towers, where up to 50,000 people worked each day, both
collapsed less than 90 minutes later.
At 9:37 that same morning, a third airliner
slammed into the western face of the Pentagon. At 10:03, a fourth airliner
crashed in a field in southern Pennsylvania. It had been aimed at the United
States Capitol or the White House, and was forced down by heroic passengers
armed with the knowledge that America was under attack.
More than 2,600 people died at the World Trade
Center; 125 died at the Pentagon; 256 died on the four planes. The death toll
surpassed that at Pearl Harbor in December 1941.
This immeasurable pain was inflicted by 19
young Arabs acting at the behest of Islamist extremists headquartered in distant
Afghanistan. Some had been in the United States for more than a year, mixing
with the rest of the population. Though four had training as pilots, most were
not well-educated. Most spoke English poorly, some hardly at all. In groups of
four or five, carrying with them only small knives, box cutters, and cans of
Mace or pepper spray, they had hijacked the four planes and turned them into
deadly guided missiles.
Why did they do this? How was the attack
planned and conceived? How did the U.S. government fail to anticipate and
prevent it? What can we do in the future to prevent similar acts of terrorism?
A Shock, Not a Surprise
The 9/11 attacks were a shock, but they should not have come as a surprise.
Islamist extremists had given plenty of warning that they meant to kill
Americans indiscriminately and in large numbers. Although Usama Bin Ladin
himself would not emerge as a signal threat until the late 1990s, the threat of
Islamist terrorism grew over the decade.
In February 1993, a group led by Ramzi Yousef
tried to bring down the World Trade Center with a truck bomb. They killed six
and wounded a thousand. Plans by Omar Abdel Rahman and others to blow up the
Holland and Lincoln tunnels and other New York City landmarks were frustrated
when the plotters were arrested. In October 1993, Somali tribesmen shot down
U.S. helicopters, killing 18 and wounding 73 in an incident that came to be
known as "Black Hawk down." Years later it would be learned that those
Somali tribesmen had received help from al Qaeda.
In early 1995, police in Manila uncovered a
plot by Ramzi Yousef to blow up a dozen U.S. airliners while they were flying
over the Pacific. In November 1995, a car bomb exploded outside the office of
the U.S. program manager for the Saudi National Guard in Riyadh, killing five
Americans and two others. In June 1996, a truck bomb demolished the Khobar
Towers apartment complex in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, killing 19 U.S. servicemen
and wounding hundreds. The attack was carried out primarily by Saudi Hezbollah,
an organization that had received help from the government of Iran.
Until 1997, the U.S. intelligence community
viewed Bin Ladin as a financier of terrorism, not as a terrorist leader. In
February 1998, Usama Bin Ladin and four others issued a self-styled fatwa,
publicly declaring that it was God's decree that every Muslim should try his
utmost to kill any American, military or civilian, anywhere in the world,
because of American "occupation" of Islam's holy places and aggression
against Muslims.
In August 1998, Bin Ladin's group, al
Qaeda,
carried out near-simultaneous truck bomb attacks on the U.S. embassies in
Nairobi, Kenya, and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. The attacks killed 224 people,
including 12 Americans, and wounded thousands more.
In December 1999, Jordanian police foiled a
plot to bomb hotels and other sites frequented by American tourists, and a U.S.
Customs agent arrested Ahmed Ressam at the U.S. Canadian border as he was
smuggling in explosives intended for an attack on Los Angeles International
Airport.
In October 2000, an al Qaeda team in Aden,
Yemen, used a motorboat filled with explosives to blow a hole in the side of a
destroyer, the USS Cole, almost sinking the vessel and killing 17
American sailors.
The 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center and
the Pentagon were far more elaborate, precise, and destructive than any of these
earlier assaults. But by September 2001, the executive branch of the U.S.
government, the Congress, the news media, and the American public had received
clear warning that Islamist terrorists meant to kill Americans in high numbers.
Who Is the Enemy?
Who is this enemy that created an organization capable of inflicting such
horrific damage on the United States? We now know that these attacks were
carried out by various groups of Islamist extremists. The 9/11 attack was driven
by Usama Bin Ladin.
In the 1980s, young Muslims from around the
world went to Afghanistan to join as volunteers in a jihad (or holy struggle)
against the Soviet Union. A wealthy Saudi, Usama Bin Ladin, was one of them.
Following the defeat of the Soviets in the late 1980s, Bin Ladin and others
formed al Qaeda to mobilize jihads elsewhere.
The history, culture, and body of beliefs from
which Bin Ladin shapes and spreads his message are largely unknown to many
Americans. Seizing on symbols of Islam's past greatness, he promises to restore
pride to people who consider themselves the victims of successive foreign
masters. He uses cultural and religious allusions to the holy Qur'an and some of
its interpreters. He appeals to people disoriented by cyclonic change as they
confront modernity and globalization. His rhetoric selectively draws from
multiple sources-Islam, history, and the region's political and economic
malaise.
Bin Ladin also stresses grievances against the
United States widely shared in the Muslim world. He inveighed against the
presence of U.S. troops in Saudi Arabia, which is the home of Islam's holiest
sites, and against other U.S. policies in the Middle East.
Upon this political and ideological
foundation, Bin Ladin built over the course of a decade a dynamic and lethal
organization. He built an infrastructure and organization in Afghanistan that
could attract, train, and use recruits against ever more ambitious targets. He
rallied new zealots and new money with each demonstration of al Qaeda's
capability. He had forged a close alliance with the Taliban, a regime providing
sanctuary for al Qaeda.
By September 11, 2001, al Qaeda possessed
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leaders able to evaluate, approve, and
supervise the planning and direction of a major operation;
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a personnel system that could recruit
candidates, indoctrinate them, vet them, and give them the necessary
training;
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communications sufficient to enable
planning and direction of operatives and those who would be helping them;
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an intelligence effort to gather required
information and form assessments of enemy strengths and weaknesses;
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the ability to move people great distances;
and
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the ability to raise and move the money
necessary to finance an attack.
1998 to September 11, 2001
The August 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania established al
Qaeda as a potent adversary of the United States.
After launching cruise missile strikes against
al Qaeda targets in Afghanistan and Sudan in retaliation for the embassy
bombings, the Clinton administration applied diplomatic pressure to try to
persuade the Taliban regime in Afghanistan to expel Bin Ladin. The
administration also devised covert operations to use CIA-paid foreign agents to
capture or kill Bin Ladin and his chief lieutenants. These actions did not stop
Bin Ladin or dislodge al Qaeda from its sanctuary.
By late 1998 or early 1999, Bin Ladin and his
advisers had agreed on an idea brought to them by Khalid Sheikh Mohammed (KSM)
called the "planes operation." It would eventually culminate in the
9/11 attacks. Bin Ladin and his chief of operations, Mohammed Atef, occupied
undisputed leadership positions atop al Qaeda. Within al Qaeda, they relied
heavily on the ideas and enterprise of strong-willed field commanders, such as
KSM, to carry out worldwide terrorist operations.
KSM claims that his original plot was even
grander than those carried out on 9/11-ten planes would attack targets on both
the East and West coasts of the United States. This plan was modified by Bin
Ladin, KSM said, owing to its scale and complexity. Bin Ladin provided KSM with
four initial operatives for suicide plane attacks within the United States, and
in the fall of 1999 training for the attacks began. New recruits included four
from a cell of expatriate Muslim extremists who had clustered together in
Hamburg, Germany. One became the tactical commander of the operation in the
United States: Mohamed Atta.
U.S. intelligence frequently picked up reports
of attacks planned by al Qaeda. Working with foreign security services, the CIA
broke up some al Qaeda cells. The core of Bin Ladin's organization nevertheless
remained intact. In December 1999, news about the arrests of the terrorist cell
in Jordan and the arrest of a terrorist at the U.S.-Canadian border became part
of a "millennium alert." The government was galvanized, and the public
was on alert for any possible attack.
In January 2000, the intense intelligence
effort glimpsed and then lost sight of two operatives destined for the
"planes operation." Spotted in Kuala Lumpur, the pair were lost
passing through Bangkok. On January 15, 2000, they arrived in Los Angeles.
Because these two al Qaeda operatives had
spent little time in the West and spoke little, if any, English, it is plausible
that they or KSM would have tried to identify, in advance, a friendly contact in
the United States. We explored suspicions about whether these two operatives had
a support network of accomplices in the United States. The evidence is
thin-simply not there for some cases, more worrisome in others.
We do know that soon after arriving in
California, the two al Qaeda operatives sought out and found a group of
ideologically like-minded Muslims with roots in Yemen and Saudi Arabia,
individuals mainly associated with a young Yemeni and others who attended a
mosque in San Diego. After a brief stay in Los Angeles about which we know
little, the al Qaeda operatives lived openly in San Diego under their true
names. They managed to avoid attracting much attention.
By the summer of 2000, three of the four
Hamburg cell members had arrived on the East Coast of the United States and had
begun pilot training. In early 2001, a fourth future hijacker pilot, Hani
Hanjour, journeyed to Arizona with another operative, Nawaf al Hazmi, and
conducted his refresher pilot training there. A number of al Qaeda operatives
had spent time in Arizona during the 1980s and early 1990s.
During 2000, President Bill Clinton and his
advisers renewed diplomatic efforts to get Bin Ladin expelled from Afghanistan.
They also renewed secret efforts with some of the Taliban's opponents-the
Northern Alliance-to get enough intelligence to attack Bin Ladin directly.
Diplomatic efforts centered on the new military government in Pakistan, and they
did not succeed. The efforts with the Northern Alliance revived an inconclusive
and secret debate about whether the United States should take sides in
Afghanistan's civil war and support the Taliban's enemies. The CIA also produced
a plan to improve intelligence collection on al Qaeda, including the use of a
small, unmanned airplane with a video camera, known as the Predator.
After the October 2000 attack on the USS Cole,
evidence accumulated that it had been launched by al Qaeda operatives, but
without confirmation that Bin Ladin had given the order. The Taliban had earlier
been warned that it would be held responsible for another Bin Ladin attack on
the United States. The CIA described its findings as a "preliminary
judgment"; President Clinton and his chief advisers told us they were
waiting for a conclusion before deciding whether to take military action. The
military alternatives remained unappealing to them.
The transition to the new Bush administration
in late 2000 and early 2001 took place with the Cole issue still
pending. President George W. Bush and his chief advisers accepted that al Qaeda
was responsible for the attack on the Cole, but did not like the
options available for a response.
Bin Ladin's inference may well have been that
attacks, at least at the level of the Cole, were risk free.
The Bush administration began developing a new
strategy with the stated goal of eliminating the al Qaeda threat within three to
five years.
During the spring and summer of 2001, U.S.
intelligence agencies received a stream of warnings that al Qaeda planned, as
one report put it, "something very, very, very big." Director of
Central Intelligence George Tenet told us, "The system was blinking
red."
Although Bin Ladin was determined to strike in
the United States, as President Clinton had been told and President Bush was
reminded in a Presidential Daily Brief article briefed to him in August 2001,
the specific threat information pointed overseas. Numerous precautions were
taken overseas. Domestic agencies were not effectively mobilized. The threat did
not receive national media attention comparable to the millennium alert.
While the United States continued disruption
efforts around the world, its emerging strategy to eliminate the al Qaeda threat
was to include an enlarged covert action program in Afghanistan, as well as
diplomatic strategies for Afghanistan and Pakistan. The process culminated
during the summer of 2001 in a draft presidential directive and arguments about
the Predator aircraft, which was soon to be deployed with a missile of its own,
so that it might be used to attempt to kill Bin Ladin or his chief lieutenants.
At a September 4 meeting, President Bush's chief advisers approved the draft
directive of the strategy and endorsed the concept of arming the Predator. This
directive on the al Qaeda strategy was awaiting President Bush's signature on
September 11, 2001.
Though the "planes operation" was
progressing, the plotters had problems of their own in 2001. Several possible
participants dropped out; others could not gain entry into the United States
(including one denial at a port of entry and visa denials not related to
terrorism). One of the eventual pilots may have considered abandoning the planes
operation. Zacarias Moussaoui, who showed up at a flight training school in
Minnesota, may have been a candidate to replace him.
Some of the vulnerabilities of the plotters
become clear in retrospect. Moussaoui aroused suspicion for seeking fast-track
training on how to pilot large jet airliners. He was arrested on August 16,
2001, for violations of immigration regulations. In late August, officials in
the intelligence community realized that the terrorists spotted in Southeast
Asia in January 2000 had arrived in the United States.
These cases did not prompt urgent action. No
one working on these late leads in the summer of 2001 connected them to the high
level of threat reporting. In the words of one official, no analytic work
foresaw the lightning that could connect the thundercloud to the ground.
As final preparations were under way during
the summer of 2001, dissent emerged among al Qaeda leaders in Afghanistan over
whether to proceed. The Taliban's chief, Mullah Omar, opposed attacking the
United States. Although facing opposition from many of his senior lieutenants,
Bin Ladin effectively overruled their objections, and the attacks went forward.
September 11, 2001
The day began with the 19 hijackers getting through a security checkpoint system
that they had evidently analyzed and knew how to defeat. Their success rate in
penetrating the system was 19 for 19.They took over the four flights, taking
advantage of air crews and cockpits that were not prepared for the contingency
of a suicide hijacking.
On 9/11, the defense of U.S. air space
depended on close interaction between two federal agencies: the Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA) and North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD).
Existing protocols on 9/11 were unsuited in every respect for an attack in which
hijacked planes were used as weapons.
What ensued was a hurried attempt to improvise
a defense by civilians who had never handled a hijacked aircraft that attempted
to disappear, and by a military unprepared for the transformation of commercial
aircraft into weapons of mass destruction.
A shootdown authorization was not communicated
to the NORAD air defense sector until 28 minutes after United 93 had crashed in
Pennsylvania. Planes were scrambled, but ineffectively, as they did not know
where to go or what targets they were to intercept. And once the shootdown order
was given, it was not communicated to the pilots. In short, while leaders in
Washington believed that the fighters circling above them had been instructed to
"take out" hostile aircraft, the only orders actually conveyed to the
pilots were to "ID type and tail."
Like the national defense, the emergency
response on 9/11 was necessarily improvised.
In New York City, the Fire Department of New
York, the New York Police Department, the Port Authority of New York and New
Jersey, the building employees, and the occupants of the buildings did their
best to cope with the effects of almost unimaginable events-unfolding furiously
over 102 minutes. Casualties were nearly 100 percent at and above the impact
zones and were very high among first responders who stayed in danger as they
tried to save lives. Despite weaknesses in preparations for disaster, failure to
achieve unified incident command, and inadequate communications among responding
agencies, all but approximately one hundred of the thousands of civilians who
worked below the impact zone escaped, often with help from the emergency
responders.
At the Pentagon, while there were also
problems of command and control, the emergency response was generally effective.
The Incident Command System, a formalized management structure for emergency
response in place in the National Capital Region, overcame the inherent
complications of a response across local, state, and federal jurisdictions.
Operational Opportunities
We write with the benefit and handicap of hindsight. We are mindful of the
danger of being unjust to men and women who made choices in conditions of
uncertainty and in circumstances over which they often had little control.
Nonetheless, there were specific points of
vulnerability in the plot and opportunities to disrupt it. Operational
failures-opportunities that were not or could not be exploited by the
organizations and systems of that time-included
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not watchlisting future hijackers Hazmi and
Mihdhar, not trailing them after they traveled to Bangkok, and not informing
the FBI about one future hijacker's U.S. visa or his companion's travel to
the United States;
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not sharing information linking individuals
in the Cole attack to Mihdhar;
-
not taking adequate steps in time to find
Mihdhar or Hazmi in the United States;
-
not linking the arrest of Zacarias
Moussaoui, described as interested in flight training for the purpose of
using an airplane in a terrorist act, to the heightened indications of
attack;
-
not discovering false statements on visa
applications;
-
not recognizing passports manipulated in a
fraudulent manner;
-
not expanding no-fly lists to include names
from terrorist watchlists;
-
not searching airline passengers identified
by the computer-based CAPPS screening system; and
-
not hardening aircraft cockpit doors or
taking other measures to prepare for the possibility of suicide hijackings.
GENERAL FINDINGS
Since the plotters were flexible and
resourceful, we cannot know whether any single step or series of steps would
have defeated them. What we can say with confidence is that none of the measures
adopted by the U.S. government from 1998 to 2001 disturbed or even delayed the
progress of the al Qaeda plot. Across the government, there were failures of
imagination, policy, capabilities, and management.
Imagination
The most important failure was one of imagination. We do not believe leaders
understood the gravity of the threat. The terrorist danger from Bin Ladin and al
Qaeda was not a major topic for policy debate among the public, the media, or in
the Congress. Indeed, it barely came up during the 2000 presidential campaign.
Al Qaeda's new brand of terrorism presented
challenges to U.S. governmental institutions that they were not well-designed to
meet. Though top officials all told us that they understood the danger, we
believe there was uncertainty among them as to whether this was just a new and
especially venomous version of the ordinary terrorist threat the United States
had lived with for decades, or it was indeed radically new, posing a threat
beyond any yet experienced.
As late as September 4, 2001, Richard Clarke,
the White House staffer long responsible for counterterrorism policy
coordination, asserted that the government had not yet made up its mind how to
answer the question: "Is al Qida a big deal?"
A week later came the answer.
Policy
Terrorism was not the overriding national security concern for the U.S.
government under either the Clinton or the pre-9/11 Bush administration.
The policy challenges were linked to this
failure of imagination. Officials in both the Clinton and Bush administrations
regarded a full U.S. invasion of Afghanistan as practically inconceivable before
9/11.
Capabilities
Before 9/11, the United States tried to solve the al Qaeda problem with the
capabilities it had used in the last stages of the Cold War and its immediate
aftermath. These capabilities were insufficient. Little was done to expand or
reform them.
The CIA had minimal capacity to conduct
paramilitary operations with its own personnel, and it did not seek a
large-scale expansion of these capabilities before 9/11. The CIA also needed to
improve its capability to collect intelligence from human agents.
At no point before 9/11 was the Department of
Defense fully engaged in the mission of countering al Qaeda, even though this
was perhaps the most dangerous foreign enemy threatening the United States.
America's homeland defenders faced outward.
NORAD itself was barely able to retain any alert bases at all. Its planning
scenarios occasionally considered the danger of hijacked aircraft being guided
to American targets, but only aircraft that were coming from overseas.
The most serious weaknesses in agency
capabilities were in the domestic arena. The FBI did not have the capability to
link the collective knowledge of agents in the field to national priorities.
Other domestic agencies deferred to the FBI.
FAA capabilities were weak. Any serious
examination of the possibility of a suicide hijacking could have suggested
changes to fix glaring vulnerabilities-expanding no-fly lists, searching
passengers identified by the CAPPS screening system, deploying federal air
marshals domestically, hardening cockpit doors, alerting air crews to a
different kind of hijacking possibility than they had been trained to expect.
Yet the FAA did not adjust either its own training or training with NORAD to
take account of threats other than those experienced in the past.
Management
The missed opportunities to thwart the 9/11 plot were also symptoms of a broader
inability to adapt the way government manages problems to the new challenges of
the twenty-first century. Action officers should have been able to draw on all
available knowledge about al Qaeda in the government. Management should have
ensured that information was shared and duties were clearly assigned across
agencies, and across the foreign-domestic divide.
There were also broader management issues with
respect to how top leaders set priorities and allocated resources. For instance,
on December 4, 1998, DCI Tenet issued a directive to several CIA officials and
the DDCI for Community Management, stating: "We are at war. I want no
resources or people spared in this effort, either inside CIA or the
Community." The memorandum had little overall effect on mobilizing the CIA
or the intelligence community. This episode indicates the limitations of the
DCI's authority over the direction of the intelligence community, including
agencies within the Department of Defense.
The U.S. government did not find a way of
pooling intelligence and using it to guide the planning and assignment of
responsibilities for joint operations involving entities as disparate as the
CIA, the FBI, the State Department, the military, and the agencies involved in
homeland security.
SPECIFIC FINDINGS
Unsuccessful Diplomacy
Beginning in February 1997, and through September 11, 2001, the U.S. government
tried to use diplomatic pressure to persuade the Taliban regime in Afghanistan
to stop being a sanctuary for al Qaeda, and to expel Bin Ladin to a country
where he could face justice. These efforts included warnings and sanctions, but
they all failed.
The U.S. government also pressed two
successive Pakistani governments to demand that the Taliban cease providing a
sanctuary for Bin Ladin and his organization and, failing that, to cut off their
support for the Taliban. Before 9/11, the United States could not find a mix of
incentives and pressure that would persuade Pakistan to reconsider its
fundamental relationship with the Taliban.
From 1999 through early 2001, the United
States pressed the United Arab Emirates, one of the Taliban's only travel and
financial outlets to the outside world, to break off ties and enforce sanctions,
especially those related to air travel to Afghanistan. These efforts achieved
little before 9/11.
Saudi Arabia has been a problematic ally in
combating Islamic extremism. Before 9/11, the Saudi and U.S. governments did not
fully share intelligence information or develop an adequate joint effort to
track and disrupt the finances of the al Qaeda organization. On the other hand,
government officials of Saudi Arabia at the highest levels worked closely with
top U.S. officials in major initiatives to solve the Bin Ladin problem with
diplomacy.
Lack of Military Options
In response to the request of policymakers, the military prepared an array of
limited strike options for attacking Bin Ladin and his organization from May
1998 onward. When they briefed policymakers, the military presented both the
pros and cons of those strike options and the associated risks. Policymakers
expressed frustration with the range of options presented.
Following the August 20, 1998, missile strikes
on al Qaeda targets in Afghanistan and Sudan, both senior military officials and
policymakers placed great emphasis on actionable intelligence as the key factor
in recommending or deciding to launch military action against Bin Ladin and his
organization. They did not want to risk significant collateral damage, and they
did not want to miss Bin Ladin and thus make the United States look weak while
making Bin Ladin look strong. On three specific occasions in 1998-1999,
intelligence was deemed credible enough to warrant planning for possible strikes
to kill Bin Ladin. But in each case the strikes did not go forward, because
senior policymakers did not regard the intelligence as sufficiently actionable
to offset their assessment of the risks.
The Director of Central Intelligence,
policymakers, and military officials expressed frustration with the lack of
actionable intelligence. Some officials inside the Pentagon, including those in
the special forces and the counterterrorism policy office, also expressed
frustration with the lack of military action. The Bush administration began to
develop new policies toward al Qaeda in 2001, but military plans did not change
until after 9/11.
Problems within the Intelligence
Community
The intelligence community struggled throughout the 1990s and up to 9/11 to
collect intelligence on and analyze the phenomenon of transnational terrorism.
The combination of an overwhelming number of priorities, flat budgets, an
outmoded structure, and bureaucratic rivalries resulted in an insufficient
response to this new challenge.
Many dedicated officers worked day and night
for years to piece together the growing body of evidence on al Qaeda and to
understand the threats. Yet, while there were many reports on Bin Laden and his
growing al Qaeda organization, there was no comprehensive review of what the
intelligence community knew and what it did not know, and what that meant. There
was no National Intelligence Estimate on terrorism between 1995 and 9/11.
Before 9/11, no agency did more to attack al
Qaeda than the CIA. But there were limits to what the CIA was able to achieve by
disrupting terrorist activities abroad and by using proxies to try to capture
Bin Ladin and his lieutenants in Afghanistan. CIA officers were aware of those
limitations.
To put it simply, covert action was not a
silver bullet. It was important to engage proxies in Afghanistan and to build
various capabilities so that if an opportunity presented itself, the CIA could
act on it. But for more than three years, through both the late Clinton and
early Bush administrations, the CIA relied on proxy forces, and there was
growing frustration within the CIA's Counterterrorist Center and in the National
Security Council staff with the lack of results. The development of the Predator
and the push to aid the Northern Alliance were products of this frustration.
Problems in the FBI
From the time of the first World Trade Center attack in 1993, FBI and Department
of Justice leadership in Washington and New York became increasingly concerned
about the terrorist threat from Islamist extremists to U.S. interests, both at
home and abroad. Throughout the 1990s, the FBI's counterterrorism efforts
against international terrorist organizations included both intelligence and
criminal investigations. The FBI's approach to investigations was case-specific,
decentralized, and geared toward prosecution. Significant FBI resources were
devoted to after-the-fact investigations of major terrorist attacks, resulting
in several prosecutions.
The FBI attempted several reform efforts aimed
at strengthening its ability to prevent such attacks, but these reform efforts
failed to implement organization-wide institutional change. On September 11,
2001, the FBI was limited in several areas critical to an effective preventive
counterterrorism strategy. Those working counterterrorism matters did so despite
limited intelligence collection and strategic analysis capabilities, a limited
capacity to share information both internally and externally, insufficient
training, perceived legal barriers to sharing information, and inadequate
resources.
Permeable Borders and Immigration
Controls
There were opportunities for intelligence and law enforcement to exploit al
Qaeda's travel vulnerabilities. Considered collectively, the 9/11 hijackers
-
included known al Qaeda operatives who
could have been watchlisted;
-
presented passports manipulated in a
fraudulent manner;
-
presented passports with suspicious
indicators of extremism;
-
made detectable false statements on visa
applications;
-
made false statements to border officials
to gain entry into the United States; and
-
violated immigration laws while in the
United States.
Neither the State Department's consular
officers nor the Immigration and Naturalization Service's inspectors and agents
were ever considered full partners in a national counterterrorism effort.
Protecting borders was not a national security issue before 9/11.
Permeable Aviation Security
Hijackers studied publicly available materials on the aviation security system
and used items that had less metal content than a handgun and were most likely
permissible. Though two of the hijackers were on the U.S.TIPOFF terrorist
watchlist, the FAA did not use TIPOFF data. The hijackers had to beat only one
layer of security-the security checkpoint process. Even though several hijackers
were selected for extra screening by the CAPPS system, this led only to greater
scrutiny of their checked baggage. Once on board, the hijackers were faced with
aircraft personnel who were trained to be nonconfrontational in the event of a
hijacking.
Financing
The 9/11 attacks cost somewhere between $400,000 and $500,000 to execute. The
operatives spent more than $270,000 in the United States. Additional expenses
included travel to obtain passports and visas, travel to the United States,
expenses incurred by the plot leader and facilitators outside the United States,
and expenses incurred by the people selected to be hijackers who ultimately did
not participate.
The conspiracy made extensive use of banks in
the United States. The hijackers opened accounts in their own names, using
passports and other identification documents. Their transactions were
unremarkable and essentially invisible amid the billions of dollars flowing
around the world every day.
To date, we have not been able to determine
the origin of the money used for the 9/11 attacks. Al Qaeda had many sources of
funding and a pre-9/11 annual budget estimated at $30 million. If a particular
source of funds had dried up, al Qaeda could easily have found enough money
elsewhere to fund the attack.
An Improvised Homeland Defense
The civilian and military defenders of the nation's airspace-FAA and NORAD-were
unprepared for the attacks launched against them. Given that lack of
preparedness, they attempted and failed to improvise an effective homeland
defense against an unprecedented challenge.
The events of that morning do not reflect
discredit on operational personnel. NORAD's Northeast Air Defense Sector
personnel reached out for information and made the best judgments they could
based on the information they received. Individual FAA controllers, facility
managers, and command center managers were creative and agile in recommending a
nationwide alert, ground-stopping local traffic, ordering all aircraft
nationwide to land, and executing that unprecedented order flawlessly.
At more senior levels, communication was poor.
Senior military and FAA leaders had no effective communication with each other.
The chain of command did not function well. The President could not reach some
senior officials. The Secretary of Defense did not enter the chain of command
until the morning's key events were over. Air National Guard units with
different rules of engagement were scrambled without the knowledge of the
President, NORAD, or the National Military Command Center.
Emergency Response
The civilians, firefighters, police officers, emergency medical technicians, and
emergency management professionals exhibited steady determination and resolve
under horrifying, overwhelming conditions on 9/11.Their actions saved lives and
inspired a nation.
Effective decisionmaking in New York was
hampered by problems in command and control and in internal communications.
Within the Fire Department of New York, this was true for several reasons: the
magnitude of the incident was unforeseen; commanders had difficulty
communicating with their units; more units were actually dispatched than were
ordered by the chiefs; some units self-dispatched; and once units arrived at the
World Trade Center, they were neither comprehensively accounted for nor
coordinated. The Port Authority's response was hampered by the lack both of
standard operating procedures and of radios capable of enabling multiple
commands to respond to an incident in unified fashion. The New York Police
Department, because of its history of mobilizing thousands of officers for major
events requiring crowd control, had a technical radio capability and protocols
more easily adapted to an incident of the magnitude of 9/11.
Congress
The Congress, like the executive branch, responded slowly to the rise of
transnational terrorism as a threat to national security. The legislative branch
adjusted little and did not restructure itself to address changing threats. Its
attention to terrorism was episodic and splintered across several committees.
The Congress gave little guidance to executive branch agencies on terrorism, did
not reform them in any significant way to meet the threat, and did not
systematically perform robust oversight to identify, address, and attempt to
resolve the many problems in national security and domestic agencies that became
apparent in the aftermath of 9/11.
So long as oversight is undermined by current
congressional rules and resolutions, we believe the American people will not get
the security they want and need. The United States needs a strong, stable, and
capable congressional committee structure to give America's national
intelligence agencies oversight, support, and leadership.
Are We Safer?
Since 9/11, the United States and its allies have killed or captured a majority
of al Qaeda's leadership; toppled the Taliban, which gave al Qaeda sanctuary in
Afghanistan; and severely damaged the organization. Yet terrorist attacks
continue. Even as we have thwarted attacks, nearly everyone expects they will
come. How can this be?
The problem is that al Qaeda represents an
ideological movement, not a finite group of people. It initiates and inspires,
even if it no longer directs. In this way it has transformed itself into a
decentralized force. Bin Ladin may be limited in his ability to organize major
attacks from his hideouts. Yet killing or capturing him, while extremely
important, would not end terror. His message of inspiration to a new generation
of terrorists would continue.
Because of offensive actions against al Qaeda
since 9/11, and defensive actions to improve homeland security, we believe we
are safer today. But we are not safe. We therefore make the following
recommendations that we believe can make America safer and more secure.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Three years after 9/11, the national debate
continues about how to protect our nation in this new era. We divide our
recommendations into two basic parts: What to do, and how to do it.
WHAT TO DO? A GLOBAL STRATEGY
The enemy is not just "terrorism."
It is the threat posed specifically by Islamist terrorism, by Bin Ladin and
others who draw on a long tradition of extreme intolerance within a minority
strain of Islam that does not distinguish politics from religion, and distorts
both.
The enemy is not Islam, the great world faith,
but a perversion of Islam. The enemy goes beyond al Qaeda to include the radical
ideological movement, inspired in part by al Qaeda, that has spawned other
terrorist groups and violence. Thus our strategy must match our means to two
ends: dismantling the al Qaeda network and, in the long term, prevailing over
the ideology that contributes to Islamist terrorism.
The first phase of our post-9/11 efforts
rightly included military action to topple the Taliban and pursue al Qaeda. This
work continues. But long-term success demands the use of all elements of
national power: diplomacy, intelligence, covert action, law enforcement,
economic policy, foreign aid, public diplomacy, and homeland defense. If we
favor one tool while neglecting others, we leave ourselves vulnerable and weaken
our national effort.
What should Americans expect from their
government? The goal seems unlimited: Defeat terrorism anywhere in the world.
But Americans have also been told to expect the worst: An attack is probably
coming; it may be more devastating still.
Vague goals match an amorphous picture of the
enemy. Al Qaeda and other groups are popularly described as being all over the
world, adaptable, resilient, needing little higher-level organization, and
capable of anything. It is an image of an omnipotent hydra of destruction. That
image lowers expectations of government effectiveness.
It lowers them too far. Our report shows a
determined and capable group of plotters. Yet the group was fragile and
occasionally left vulnerable by the marginal, unstable people often attracted to
such causes. The enemy made mistakes. The U.S. government was not able to
capitalize on them.
No president can promise that a catastrophic
attack like that of 9/11 will not happen again. But the American people are
entitled to expect that officials will have realistic objectives, clear
guidance, and effective organization. They are entitled to see standards for
performance so they can judge, with the help of their elected representatives,
whether the objectives are being met.
We propose a strategy with three dimensions:
(1) attack terrorists and their organizations, (2) prevent the continued growth
of Islamist terrorism, and (3) protect against and prepare for terrorist
attacks.
Attack Terrorists and Their
Organizations
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Root out sanctuaries.The U.S. government
should identify and prioritize actual or potential terrorist sanctuaries and
have realistic country or regional strategies for each, utilizing every
element of national power and reaching out to countries that can help us.
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Strengthen long-term U.S. and international
commitments to the future of Pakistan and Afghanistan.
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Confront problems with Saudi Arabia in the
open and build a relationship beyond oil, a relationship that both sides can
defend to their citizens and includes a shared commitment to reform.
Prevent the Continued Growth of
Islamist Terrorism
In October 2003, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld asked if enough was being
done "to fashion a broad integrated plan to stop the next generation of
terrorists." As part of such a plan, the U.S. government should
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Define the message and stand as an example
of moral leadership in the world. To Muslim parents, terrorists like Bin
Ladin have nothing to offer their children but visions of violence and
death. America and its friends have the advantage-our vision can offer a
better future.
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Where Muslim governments, even those who
are friends, do not offer opportunity, respect the rule of law, or tolerate
differences, then the United States needs to stand for a better future.
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Communicate and defend American ideals in
the Islamic world, through much stronger public diplomacy to reach more
people, including students and leaders outside of government. Our efforts
here should be as strong as they were in combating closed societies during
the Cold War.
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Offer an agenda of opportunity that
includes support for public education and economic openness.
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Develop a comprehensive coalition strategy
against Islamist terrorism, using a flexible contact group of leading
coalition governments and fashioning a common coalition approach on issues
like the treatment of captured terrorists.
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Devote a maximum effort to the parallel
task of countering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
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Expect less from trying to dry up terrorist
money and more from following the money for intelligence, as a tool to hunt
terrorists, understand their networks, and disrupt their operations.
Protect against and Prepare for
Terrorist Attacks
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Target terrorist travel, an intelligence
and security strategy that the 9/11 story showed could be at least as
powerful as the effort devoted to terrorist finance.
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Address problems of screening people with
biometric identifiers across agencies and governments, including our border
and transportation systems, by designing a comprehensive screening system
that addresses common problems and sets common standards. As standards
spread, this necessary and ambitious effort could dramatically strengthen
the world's ability to intercept individuals who could pose catastrophic
threats.
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Quickly complete a biometric entry-exit
screening system, one that also speeds qualified travelers.
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Set standards for the issuance of birth
certificates and sources of identification, such as driver's licenses.
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Develop strategies for neglected parts of
our transportation security system. Since 9/11, about 90 percent of the
nation's $5 billion annual investment in transportation security has gone to
aviation, to fight the last war.
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In aviation, prevent arguments about a new
computerized profiling system from delaying vital improvements in the
"no-fly" and "automatic selectee" lists. Also, give
priority to the improvement of checkpoint screening.
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Determine, with leadership from the
President, guidelines for gathering and sharing information in the new
security systems that are needed, guidelines that integrate safeguards for
privacy and other essential liberties.
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Underscore that as government power
necessarily expands in certain ways, the burden of retaining such powers
remains on the executive to demonstrate the value of such powers and ensure
adequate supervision of how they are used, including a new board to oversee
the implementation of the guidelines needed for gathering and sharing
information in these new security systems.
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Base federal funding for emergency
preparedness solely on risks and vulnerabilities, putting New York City and
Washington, D.C., at the top of the current list. Such assistance should not
remain a program for general revenue sharing or pork-barrel spending.
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Make homeland security funding contingent
on the adoption of an incident command system to strengthen teamwork in a
crisis, including a regional approach. Allocate more radio spectrum and
improve connectivity for public safety communications, and encourage
widespread adoption of newly developed standards for private-sector
emergency preparedness-since the private sector controls 85 percent of the
nation's critical infrastructure.
HOW TO DO IT? A DIFFERENT WAY OF ORGANIZING
GOVERNMENT
The strategy we have recommended is elaborate,
even as presented here very briefly. To implement it will require a government
better organized than the one that exists today, with its national security
institutions designed half a century ago to win the Cold War. Americans should
not settle for incremental, ad hoc adjustments to a system created a generation
ago for a world that no longer exists.
Our detailed recommendations are designed to
fit together. Their purpose is clear: to build unity of effort across the U.S.
government. As one official now serving on the front lines overseas put it to
us: "One fight, one team."
We call for unity of effort in five areas,
beginning with unity of effort on the challenge of counterterrorism itself:
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unifying strategic intelligence and
operational planning against Islamist terrorists across the foreign-domestic
divide with a National Counterterrorism Center;
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unifying the intelligence community with a
new National Intelligence Director;
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unifying the many participants in the
counterterrorism effort and their knowledge in a network-based information
sharing system that transcends traditional governmental boundaries;
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unifying and strengthening congressional
oversight to improve quality and accountability; and
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strengthening the FBI and homeland
defenders.
Unity of Effort: A National
Counterterrorism Center
The 9/11 story teaches the value of integrating strategic intelligence from all
sources into joint operational planning-with both dimensions spanning
the foreign-domestic divide.
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In some ways, since 9/11, joint work has
gotten better. The effort of fighting terrorism has flooded over many of the
usual agency boundaries because of its sheer quantity and energy. Attitudes
have changed. But the problems of coordination have multiplied. The Defense
Department alone has three unified commands (SOCOM, CENTCOM, and NORTHCOM)
that deal with terrorism as one of their principal concerns.
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Much of the public commentary about the
9/11 attacks has focused on "lost opportunities." Though
characterized as problems of "watchlisting," "information
sharing," or "connecting the dots," each of these labels is
too narrow. They describe the symptoms, not the disease.
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Breaking the older mold of organization
stovepiped purely in executive agencies, we propose a National
Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) that would borrow the joint, unified command
concept adopted in the 1980s by the American military in a civilian agency,
combining the joint intelligence function alongside the operations work.
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The NCTC would build on the existing
Terrorist Threat Integration Center and would replace it and other terrorism
"fusion centers" within the government. The NCTC would become the
authoritative knowledge bank, bringing information to bear on common plans.
It should task collection requirements both inside and outside the United
States.
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The NCTC should perform joint operational
planning, assigning lead responsibilities to existing agencies and letting
them direct the actual execution of the plans.
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Placed in the Executive Office of the
President, headed by a Senate-confirmed official (with rank equal to the
deputy head of a cabinet department) who reports to the National
Intelligence Director, the NCTC would track implementation of plans. It
would be able to influence the leadership and the budgets of the
counterterrorism operating arms of the CIA, the FBI, and the departments of
Defense and Homeland Security.
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The NCTC should not be a
policymaking body. Its operations and planning should follow the policy
direction of the president and the National Security Council.
Unity of Effort: A National
Intelligence Director
Since long before 9/11-and continuing to this day-the intelligence community is
not organized well for joint intelligence work. It does not employ common
standards and practices in reporting intelligence or in training experts
overseas and at home. The expensive national capabilities for collecting
intelligence have divided management. The structures are too complex and too
secret.
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The community's head-the Director of
Central Intelligence-has at least three jobs: running the CIA, coordinating
a 15-agency confederation, and being the intelligence analyst-in-chief to
the president. No one person can do all these things.
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A new National Intelligence Director should
be established with two main jobs: (1) to oversee national intelligence
centers that combine experts from all the collection disciplines against
common targets- like counterterrorism or nuclear proliferation; and (2) to
oversee the agencies that contribute to the national intelligence program, a
task that includes setting common standards for personnel and information
technology.
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The national intelligence centers would be
the unified commands of the intelligence world-a long-overdue reform for
intelligence comparable to the 1986 Goldwater-Nichols law that reformed the
organization of national defense. The home services-such as the CIA, DIA,
NSA, and FBI-would organize, train, and equip the best intelligence
professionals in the world, and would handle the execution of intelligence
operations in the field.
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This National Intelligence Director
(NID)
should be located in the Executive Office of the President and report
directly to the president, yet be confirmed by the Senate. In addition to
overseeing the National Counterterrorism Center described above (which will
include both the national intelligence center for terrorism and the joint
operations planning effort), the NID should have three deputies:
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For foreign intelligence (a deputy who
also would be the head of the CIA)
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For defense intelligence (also the
under secretary of defense for intelligence)
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For homeland intelligence (also the
executive assistant director for intelligence at the FBI or the under
secretary of homeland security for information analysis and
infrastructure protection)
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The NID should receive a public
appropriation for national intelligence, should have authority to hire and
fire his or her intelligence deputies, and should be able to set common
personnel and information technology policies across the intelligence
community.
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The CIA should concentrate on strengthening
the collection capabilities of its clandestine service and the talents of
its analysts, building pride in its core expertise.
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Secrecy stifles oversight, accountability,
and information sharing. Unfortunately, all the current organizational
incentives encourage overclassification. This balance should change; and as
a start, open information should be provided about the overall size of
agency intelligence budgets.
Unity of Effort: Sharing Information
The U.S. government has access to a vast amount of information. But it has a
weak system for processing and using what it has. The system of "need to
know" should be replaced by a system of "need to share."
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The President should lead a government-wide
effort to bring the major national security institutions into the
information revolution, turning a mainframe system into a decentralized
network. The obstacles are not technological. Official after official has
urged us to call attention to problems with the unglamorous "back
office" side of government operations.
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But no agency can solve the problems on its
own-to build the network requires an effort that transcends old divides,
solving common legal and policy issues in ways that can help officials know
what they can and cannot do. Again, in tackling information issues, America
needs unity of effort.
Unity of Effort: Congress
Congress took too little action to adjust itself or to restructure the executive
branch to address the emerging terrorist threat. Congressional oversight for
intelligence-and counterterrorism-is dysfunctional. Both Congress and the
executive need to do more to minimize national security risks during transitions
between administrations.
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For intelligence oversight, we propose two
options: either a joint committee on the old model of the Joint Committee on
Atomic Energy or a single committee in each house combining authorizing and
appropriating committees. Our central message is the same: the intelligence
committees cannot carry out their oversight function unless they are made
stronger, and thereby have both clear responsibility and accountability for
that oversight.
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Congress should create a single, principal
point of oversight and review for homeland security. There should be one
permanent standing committee for homeland security in each chamber.
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We propose reforms to speed up the
nomination, financial reporting, security clearance, and confirmation
process for national security officials at the start of an administration,
and suggest steps to make sure that incoming administrations have the
information they need.
Unity of Effort: Organizing America's
Defenses in the United States
We have considered several proposals relating to the future of the domestic
intelligence and counterterrorism mission. Adding a new domestic intelligence
agency will not solve America's problems in collecting and analyzing
intelligence within the United States. We do not recommend creating one.
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We propose the establishment of a
specialized and integrated national security workforce at the FBI,
consisting of agents, analysts, linguists, and surveillance specialists who
are recruited, trained, rewarded, and retained to ensure the development of
an institutional culture imbued with a deep expertise in intelligence and
national security.
At several points we asked: Who has the
responsibility for defending us at home? Responsibility for America's
national defense is shared by the Department of Defense, with its new
Northern Command, and by the Department of Homeland Security.They must have
a clear delineation of roles, missions, and authority.
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The Department of Defense and its oversight
committees should regularly assess the adequacy of Northern Command's
strategies and planning to defend against military threats to the homeland.
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The Department of Homeland Security and its
oversight committees should regularly assess the types of threats the
country faces, in order to determine the adequacy of the government's plans
and the readiness of the government to respond to those threats.
* * *
We call on the American people to remember how
we all felt on 9/11, to remember not only the unspeakable horror but how we came
together as a nation-one nation. Unity of purpose and unity of effort are the
way we will defeat this enemy and make America safer for our children and
grandchildren.
We look forward to a national debate on the
merits of what we have recommended, and we will participate vigorously in that
debate.
Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist
Attacks Upon the United States
http://www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
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